Federal Reserve Bank
950 S Grand Ave FL 1
About Federal Reserve Bank:
Federal Reserve Bank was established in 1977, in South Park - Los Angeles, CA - Los Angeles County and is a business listed in the categories Banks and Commercial Banks.
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Cash Flow or Cash Stash? How Money Moves Around
A record amount of American dollars are in circulation, but much of it appears to be stashed outside the U.S. or held by domestic businesses or individuals.
The Center for Microeconomic Data
Expenditure Discrepancy Improve Forecasts?
Gross domestic income and gross domestic product—GDI and GDP—measure aggregate economic activity using income and expenditure data, respectively. Discrepancies between the initial estimates of quarterly growth rates for these two measures appear to have some predictive power for subsequent GDP revisions. However, this power has weakened considerably since 2011. Similarly, the first revision to GDP growth has less predictive power in forecasting subsequent revisions since 2011. One possible explanation is that evolving data collection and estimation methods have helped improve initial GDP and GDI estimates.
Is GDP Overstating Economic Activity?
Since late 2015, growth in real GDP has consistently exceeded that in real GDI, a prominent alternative measure of aggregate output, with an average difference of about 0.65 percentage point. Is real GDP overstating the expansion? One way to address this question is by comparing the accuracy of these measures in forecasting a benchmark measure of economic activity, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index. The comparison suggests that GDP consistently outperforms GDI in predicting recent real economic activity. Therefore, the weaker GDI growth does not necessarily indicate slower economic growth.
star: Are They Really Rising?
In the current economic environment, it’s important to distinguish between the strong economic conditions and the key longer-run drivers underpinning interest rates. Three factors—demographics, productivity growth, and the demand for safe assets—all point to the natural rate of interest, known as r-star, remaining low for quite some time. The following is adapted from a speech by the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco to the Economic Club of Minnesota in Minneapolis on May 15.
Chair the Fed Game
Making it easier to understand economics, personal finance, and the Federal Reserve
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